The Less We Know, the less we know...
britannica.com, the Dunning-Kruger effect, in psychology, is a cognitive bias whereby people with limited knowledge or competence in a given intellectual or social domain greatly overestimate their own knowledge or competence in that domain relative to objective criteria or to the performance of their peers or of people in general. This phenomenon poses a very large problem.
According to the researchers for whom it is named, psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger, the effect is explained by the fact that the metacognitive ability to recognize deficiencies in one’s own knowledge or competence requires that one possess at least a minimum level of the same kind of knowledge or competence, which those who exhibit the effect have not attained. Because they are unaware of their deficiencies, such people generally assume that they are not deficient, in keeping with the tendency of most people to “choose what they think is the most reasonable and optimal option.”
“An empty vessel makes the loudest sound, so they that have the least wit are the greatest babblers.”
There is no chance for hope to materialize in a society where people think they know, but actually don't, and the volume of people exhibiting this very undesirable trait is becoming overwhelming. Furthermore, the confidence with which so many make their bold, emphatic statements of truth is so confronting and near impossible to grasp. How will we achieve the enlightenment required to understand that enabling the power of knowledge is possible only when the work has been done to acquire that knowledge?
Confirmation bias has not served society well. Twisting the narrative to match our subjective beliefs in the attempt to sway others, win an argument, or influence a process is a dangerous game to be played.
In his book, “Outliers" Malcolm Gladwell wrote,
“ten thousand hours is the magic number of greatness.”
Without splitting hairs about the actual number of hours required to master any skill or bit of knowledge, suffice to say it makes good sense that it takes a really long time. The longer we engage in learning about something, it stands to reason that the complexity of our thinking around what we're trying to master will increase congruently leading to the awareness that we need to work even harder to reach the ultimate level of learning achievement. Humility in learning and sharing knowledge, skills, and attitudes is a good thing.
If we're going to emerge from the current state of heightened but unsubstantiated "confidence" in our convictions, we have to abruptly let go of any process or platform that empowers ignorance.